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24cast.org's predictions update daily as the most recent data comes in. While our predictive accuracy is high for past elections, the outcome of the 2024 election will depend on how the American people vote, so please ensure your registration.
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24cast.org Prediction:
Outcome Likelihood:
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24cast.org's Prediction Map:
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How 24cast.org Predicted This Race
We ran 0 simulations predicting election margins using a machine learning model trained on data across multiple decades.
Democrats won in 0 simulations and lost in 0 simulations.
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