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24cast.org's predictions update daily as the most recent data comes in. While our predictive accuracy is high for past elections, the outcome of the 2024 election will depend on how the American people vote, so please ensure your registration.
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❄ Our election predictions below are frozen as of midnight on November 5th. ❄
Our final prediction:
Outcome Likelihood:
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How 24cast.org Predicted This Race
We ran 0 simulations predicting election margins using a machine learning model trained on data across multiple decades.
Democrats won in 0 simulations and lost in 0 simulations.
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