24cast.org's predictions update daily as the most recent data comes in. While our predictive accuracy is high for past elections, the outcome of the 2024 election will depend on how the American people vote, so please ensure your registration.

I want to seeraces in

In an election held today...

Outcome Likelihood:

0%

Seats:

<0.1

Next update in 0 hours

24cast.org's Prediction Map:

Click on a state to switch views.

How 24cast.org Predicted This Race

We ran 0 simulations predicting election margins using a machine learning model trained on data across multiple decades.

Democrats won in 0 simulations and lost in 0 simulations.

Placeholder Donut Chart

Select a state to see more information

Look through our full methodology!

Margin Simulations: